Diplomatic Analysis

Diplomatic Analysis: Rebuilding Iran’s arsenal will be a protracted and challenging process, presenting both risks and limited opportunities for non-proliferation efforts. Overview Recent sustained military actions by Israel and the United States against Iran’s missile and drone infrastructure have significantly degraded its production capabilities. Following years of escalating tensions and culminating in direct strikes during […]

The accelerating integration of AI into military targeting risks eroding the West’s strategic advantage by compressing decision-making beyond meaningful human oversight. Overview The integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) into military command and control systems, particularly in targeting processes, is rapidly altering the landscape of modern warfare. This development, driven by a competitive imperative to match […]

Diplomatic Analysis: Geopolitical restrictions are cumulatively eroding the civilian aviation ecosystem upon which U.S. strategic mobility critically depends. Overview The ability of the United States to rapidly project military power across Eurasia is increasingly jeopardised not by direct confrontation, but by the progressive closure of vital airspace and the growing ‘geopolitization’ of civilian aviation. What […]

Diplomatic Analysis: Maintaining Strategic Breadth in Military Education is Crucial for Long-Term U.S. Security. This analysis examines a recent article from War on the Rocks concerning the ongoing debate about professional military education (PME) in the United States. The core question is whether PME should increasingly focus on the technological aspects of modern warfare – […]

Diplomatic Analysis: Current exercises prioritise command staff readiness over practical battlefield preparation. This analysis examines the evolving nature of US-South Korean combined military exercises, specifically the Ulchi Freedom Shield series, and their effectiveness in preparing for potential conflict with North Korea. Recent trends, including exercise reductions and a focus on command post training, raise questions […]

Diplomatic Analysis: A new framework for addressing potentially corrosive, yet lawful, military orders is needed to safeguard constitutional principles. The US military operates under a clear doctrine regarding manifestly unlawful orders: they must be refused. However, the situation becomes significantly more complex when faced with lawful actions that cumulatively pose a threat to the constitutional […]

Diplomatic Analysis: The rush to deliver advanced weaponry must be matched by an equal focus on rapidly training personnel for effective deployment. Overview Recent geopolitical events, particularly the war in Ukraine, have underscored the urgency for rapid delivery of advanced military capabilities. However, a recent analysis by Michael Woodhouse, a veteran of U.S. Army air […]

Diplomatic Analysis: A shift toward mass-produced, interoperable systems is vital for Western security in a rapidly evolving geopolitical landscape. Overview The post-Cold War international order is undergoing a fundamental transformation, accelerated by the demonstrated effectiveness of low-cost, readily available technologies in modern warfare – exemplified by Ukraine’s successful use of drones against Russian military assets. […]

Diplomatic Analysis: Pyongyang is adapting its asymmetric warfare doctrine, leveraging lessons from the war in Ukraine and deepening ties with Russia to pose a new, technologically sophisticated threat to the Korean Peninsula. Overview North Korea has a documented history of utilising irregular warfare tactics against South Korea. Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022, […]

Diplomatic Analysis: Fénelon’s 18th-century novel offers enduring insights into leadership, statecraft, and the perils of unchecked power, remaining remarkably relevant to contemporary geopolitical challenges. This analysis examines François Fénelon’s The Adventures of Telemachus, published in 1699, exploring its surprisingly prescient lessons for international relations and strategic decision-making. While largely overlooked today, the novel provides lasting […]