Diplomatic Analysis

Diplomatic Analysis

In-depth analysis of treaties, negotiations, and state-level relations shaping the Middle East.

24 Published Dispatches
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Diplomatic Analysis 6 Jul 2026 5 min

The Moral Calculus of Military AI: Balancing Security with Ethical Imperatives

Diplomatic Analysis: Pope Leo XIV’s encyclical challenges the security community to reconcile technological advancement with moral responsibility. The recent publication of Pope Leo XIV’s encyclical, Magnifica Humanitas, has ignited debate within the security and intelligence communities. While acknowledging the potential benefits of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in enhancing military capabilities, the encyclical delivers a stark critique […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 6 Jul 2026 5 min

The AI Infrastructure Impasse: Balancing National Ambition with Local Concerns

Diplomatic Analysis: U.S. AI leadership hinges on meaningfully addressing community concerns around infrastructure development. The United States is in a race to build the physical infrastructure – data centres, transmission lines, and computing facilities – necessary for artificial intelligence dominance. However, a widening gap exists between national technological strategy and the local governance structures responsible […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 4 Jul 2026 5 min

A Fragile Foundation: Reflections on American Ideals at 250 Years

Diplomatic Analysis: The enduring tension between unity and division remains central to American identity and foreign policy. This analysis examines the significance of the United States’ 250th anniversary, as reflected in a recent publication from War on the Rocks featuring inaugural addresses by John Adams and Thomas Jefferson. While ostensibly a celebration of national milestones, […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 4 Jul 2026 5 min

The American Experiment at 250: Echoes of Founding Tensions

Diplomatic Analysis: The enduring relevance of early American debates to contemporary governance and national identity. The United States is approaching its 250th anniversary in 2026. While celebratory in tone, this milestone offers a pertinent moment to reflect on the nation’s origins and the foundational debates that continue to shape its trajectory. Analysing the inaugural addresses […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 3 Jul 2026 5 min

The Integrated Circuit and the Future of AI Leadership

Diplomatic Analysis: The US model of innovation, born from military necessity, faces new tensions as AI development shifts control to the private sector. Overview This analysis examines the historical relationship between US government investment in foundational technologies – specifically the integrated circuit – and their subsequent commercial development. Drawing on the experience of the semiconductor […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 3 Jul 2026 5 min

Trump’s European Troop Policy: A Misguided Extortion, Not Isolationism

Diplomatic Analysis: The U.S. ‘dealmaking’ approach to European security undermines long-term stability and American interests. The future of U.S. military presence in Europe is ostensibly under review, as announced by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth in June 2026. This has ignited fears of a transatlantic rift, with many interpreting the administration’s rhetoric and actions as a […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 2 Jul 2026 5 min

The Eroding Signal: Diminishing Access to Chinese Military Thought

Diplomatic Analysis: Restricted access to primary Chinese military sources is creating dangerous blind spots in Western analysis of PLA strategy and capabilities. The study of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) is facing a growing crisis. Increasingly stringent controls imposed by Beijing on the publication and dissemination of military information, coupled with a decline in available […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 1 Jul 2026 5 min

The Hizballah Predicament: Why An Integrated Approach Is Necessary

Diplomatic Analysis: Hizballah’s hybrid nature necessitates a multifaceted strategy involving Lebanese state-building, regional cooperation, and sustained international support. Overview The Lebanese political and military organisation Hizballah presents a complex challenge to regional stability. Operating simultaneously as a militia, political party, social services provider and smuggling operation, it has proven resilient to conventional counter-measures. Recent negotiations […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 1 Jul 2026 5 min

The Hizballah Predicament: Why An Integrated Approach Is Necessary

” { Addressing the Hizballah Predicament: The Need for an Integrated Strategy Diplomatic Analysis: Local disarmament and regional pressure must coincide to neutralize Hizballah’s hybrid nature. Overview The precarious security architecture of the Levant is currently defined by the struggle to neutralise Hizballah, an entity that transcends the traditional definitions of a state actor or […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 30 Jun 2026 5 min

Lost in Translation: Decoding China’s View of US-China Competition

Diplomatic Analysis: Beijing views current stability not as convergence, but as a strategic pause in ongoing competition. This analysis examines a recently published report by the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR), a think tank affiliated with China’s Ministry of State Security, concerning the state of US-China relations. The report, released alongside President Trump’s […]

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