Diplomatic Analysis

Diplomatic Analysis

In-depth analysis of treaties, negotiations, and state-level relations shaping the Middle East.

62 Published Dispatches
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Diplomatic Analysis 17 Jul 2026 5 min

The Fedorov Dismissal: A Harbinger of Shifting Priorities in Ukraine’s Defence Strategy?

Ukraine’s leadership turnover signals potential challenges to its technologically driven war effort. Overview The abrupt dismissal of Ukrainian Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov in July 2026 has triggered a political crisis and ignited concern over the future direction of Ukraine’s defence strategy. A key architect of Ukraine’s successful drone warfare capabilities, Fedorov was replaced by Ihor […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 17 Jul 2026 5 min

Broken Drone, Far From Home: Sustaining Unmanned Systems in Littoral Combat

A Forward Sustainment Framework is Crucial for Realising the Navy’s Unmanned Vision. The United States Navy is rapidly investing in unmanned systems, envisioning them as integral to a “hedge strategy” designed to disperse forces and enhance regional presence, particularly in the Indo-Pacific. However, a critical gap exists: the ability to effectively maintain and repair these […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 17 Jul 2026 5 min

Broken Drone, Far From Home: The Future of Unmanned System Sustainment

Diplomatic Analysis: Overseas maintenance is essential for realising the operational potential of the US Navy’s expanding unmanned fleet. The US Navy is rapidly integrating unmanned systems into its fleet, central to a “Hedge Strategy” designed to disperse assets and enhance forward presence, particularly in the Indo-Pacific. However, a critical gap exists in the logistical framework […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 16 Jul 2026 5 min

Reading Between the Lines of the FY2027 NDAA

Congressional Scrutiny of the Pentagon Drives Acquisition and Tech Policy The Fiscal Year 2027 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) currently progressing through the US Congress reveals a persistent theme: a desire to impose greater oversight and accountability on the Department of Defense (DoD). This reflects growing frustration with the pace of reform, perceived bureaucratic inertia, […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 15 Jul 2026 5 min

MOLLE, PALS, and the Shifting Sands of Civil-Military Relations

Diplomatic Analysis: A seemingly innocuous military innovation reveals complex connections between defence, society, and identity. Overview This analysis examines the impact of the Modular Lightweight Load-Carrying Equipment (MOLLE) system – particularly the Pouch Attachment Ladder System (PALS) – on both the U.S. military and civilian society. Developed in the 1990s and widely adopted after 9/11, […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 15 Jul 2026 5 min

The Looming AI Risk: A Case for a Dedicated Threat Fusion Center

Diplomatic Analysis: A structured public-private partnership is essential to navigate the escalating national security challenges posed by advanced AI. Overview The rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI), particularly frontier models, presents increasingly complex national security challenges. Recent events – such as the temporary takedown of Anthropic’s ‘Mythos’ AI model due to cyber security concerns – […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 14 Jul 2026 5 min

A Return to Mass: Russian Force Expansion in the War with Ukraine

Diplomatic Analysis: Russia’s expansion of its armed forces, despite failing to achieve decisive gains in Ukraine, signals a long-term shift in military posture with potential implications for European security. Overview This analysis examines Russia’s dramatic expansion of its armed forces during the Russo-Ukrainian War, assessing the motivations, methods, and ultimate limitations of this effort. The […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 14 Jul 2026 5 min

The Paradox of Russian Expansion: Lessons From Ukraine

Diplomatic Analysis: Moscow’s force growth in Ukraine demonstrates logistical prowess, but diminishing battlefield returns, with implications for NATO. Overview The Russo-Ukrainian War has witnessed a remarkable expansion of the Russian military. From a relatively small, contract-based force in 2022, Russia has grown its deployed personnel to over 700,000, and authorized a further increase to 1.5 […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 13 Jul 2026 5 min

An Unlearned Lesson: The Sorry Record of Regime Change Operations in the Middle East

Diplomatic Analysis: Past failures in the Middle East suggest that Washington and Jerusalem’s recent attempt to overthrow the Iranian regime was destined to fall short, highlighting the limits of military force in achieving political transformation. Overview In February 2026, the United States and Israel launched ‘Operation Epic Fury’ against Iran, with a stated goal—particularly for […]

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Diplomatic Analysis 13 Jul 2026 5 min

Senegal Is on the Brink

The IMF, the World Bank, and the Debt Crisis Threatening West Africa’s Last Democratic Standout Senegal, long considered a beacon of democratic stability in a turbulent West Africa, faces an escalating economic crisis. The discovery of concealed debt accumulated under the previous administration – estimated between $7 and $13 billion – has catapulted the country’s […]

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